LUTZ BUSINESS INSIGHTS
Why is Forensic Accounting Needed?
BILL KENEDY, LUTZ CONSULTING AND M&A SHAREHOLDER
“But in all my experience, I have never been in any accident… of any sort worth speaking about. I have seen but one vessel in distress in all my years at sea. I never saw a wreck and never have been wrecked nor was I ever in any predicament that threatened to end in disaster in any sort.” E.J. Smith, 1907, Captain, RMS TitanicAccording to author Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a black swan is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a large impact and is improperly rationalized after the fact. Taleb states in his book “The Black Swan” that in order for an event to qualify, a black swan precipitates from risks in areas that we have little knowledge or expectation (the “unknown unknowns”). One of Taleb’s main points is that it may feel good to have precise predictions extending into the future, but the accuracy of predictions rapidly decreases as the time frame is protracted. Using history to precisely predict the future can be a dangerous model. An example given here is being a turkey the day before Thanksgiving. Every single day for 364 days, the turkey is fed. This leads the turkey to believe that the expectation for the future is to be fed every day by someone looking out for his best interests. However, on the 365th day (the day before Thanksgiving), the turkey will receive a rude surprise that will likely lead him to revise his set of beliefs. The idea behind Taleb’s theory is not to attempt to predict these freak events known as black swans, it is to be prepared to take advantage of positive black swans as well as to be prepared against negative events that may occur (e.g., how to not be a turkey the day before Thanksgiving). For a small business owner, investing in good tax planning, obtaining solid legal advice and properly training employees are ways to mitigate the effects of these potentially nasty surprises. One area in which small businesses are often lacking is fraud training. According to the Association of Certified Fraud Examiners (ACFE) in 2012, businesses with fewer than 100 employees often lacked formal controls and were shown to be three times more likely than their larger counterparts to discover instances of fraud by accident. Small business owners whose frauds were reported significantly trailed larger businesses in the implementation of antifraud controls. Below is the result of a 2011 survey of 1,388 Certified Fraud Examiners: *Source: 2012 Report to the Nations on Occupational Fraud and Abuse by the Association of Fraud Examiners While good planning and controls may not completely shield a business owner from a black swan, they certainly are necessary and often overlooked by small businesses. Therefore, it is important to keep an open mind about risk and to position yourself in a manner in which you will not be “crossing the street blindfolded.” For more information regarding risk areas that may be overlooked or to help implement some antifraud controls in your business, please contact us at email@example.com.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
BILL KENEDY + LUTZ CONSULTING AND M&A SHAREHOLDER
Bill Kenedy is a Lutz Consulting and M&A Shareholder at Lutz. He specializes in business valuation, litigation support, and merger and acquisition advisory services.
AREAS OF FOCUS
AFFILIATIONS AND CREDENTIALS
- American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, Member
- Nebraska Society of Certified Public Accountants, Member
- Certified Public Accountant
- Accredited in Business Valuation
- Certified in Financial Forensic
- Certified Exit Planning Advisor
- BSBA in Accounting, St. John’s University, Collegeville, MN
- Construction Financial Management Association, Past Treasurer, Board Member
- A Time to Heal (non-profit focused on cancer patients), Past Board Member
- EBITDA Valuation Multiples and How It's Calculated
- Net Working Capital Calculation Dilemma + Customer Deposits/Deferred Revenue
- 2021 - Is This the Year to Sell Your Business?
- Am I Ready to Sell My Business?
- Lutz M&A Advises Wings on its Acquisition by Eagle's Landing
- Selling Your Business? The Financial Information Buyers Want to See
- Can My Business Run Without Me?
- Finding the True Value of Your Business
- How Does the Business Sale Process Work?
- Understanding the Tax Implications of a Business Sale
- The M&A Client Experience
- Lutz M&A Advises Midwest Scaffold Service on its Sale to Sunbelt Rentals
- 5 Key Purchase Agreement Considerations
- Net Working Capital: What is it and How is it Used?
- Issues During the Due Diligence Process in M&A Transactions
- Lutz M&A Advises Fantasy's, Inc. on its Acquisition by Casey's General Stores
- Primary Benefits of Selling Your Company to an ESOP
- Is An Employee Stock Option Plan Right for Your Business?
- Lutz M&A Advises C&W Transportation on its Sale to Platform Capital
- Our Services, Our People, and Our Results
- Lutz M&A Advises Hands of Heartland on its Recent Investment by Evolve Capital
- Lutz M&A Advises Labor Source on its Recapitalization by Great Range Capital
- Overcoming Obstacles in Business Transition Planning
- Understanding Net Working Capital in Business Transactions
- How to Increase the Value of Your Business
- When is the Right Time to Exit My Business?
- Lutz M&A Advises Triage Staffing on Recapitalization
- Lutz M&A Advises Hockenbergs on Recent Sale to Trimark USA LLC
- Lutz M&A Advises Focus Respiratory on its Recent Buyout by Valley Healthcare Group
- Is Your Small Business at Risk of Fraud?
- Lutz M&A Advises CCW, LLC on its Recent Buyout
- Lutz M&A Advises NIFCO Mechanical Systems on Recent Sale
- Lutz M&A Advises Midwest Door & Hardware on Recent Sale
- Why is Forensic Accounting Needed?
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