FINANCIAL MARKET UPDATE 10.25.2022

STORY OF THE WEEK

IMPORTANT TAX CHANGES AND COST OF LIVING ADJUSTMENTS FOR 2023

The Internal Revenue Service and other government agencies have made several recent announcements regarding changes to many tax provisions, schedules, and other adjustments in recent weeks. Below we will provide a summary of the major changes that will affect everyone in some way. As always, it is best to consult your tax professional as to how they directly relate to you!

WEEK IN REVIEW

• Earnings season continues, with a substantial portion of the S&P 500 reporting third quarter results this week. To date, 20% of the S&P 500 has reported as of last Friday’s close. The earnings growth rate, blended between companies that have already reported with the estimates for those that have yet to report, is at 1.5% year-over-year. This is slightly below FactSet’s forecast of 2.8% at the start of earnings season, and would mark the slowest earnings growth since the third quarter of 2020.
• The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index was published this week and it showed home prices fell nationally by 1.1% from July to August. This marks the second straightly monthly price decline, and the largest such decline since December 2011. The index was still 13.0% higher than its level one year ago. The housing market has been rapidly cooling in the face of rising mortgage rates, which are currently averaging around 7% nationally.
• Other notable economic data to be published this week includes consumer confidence, new home sales, durable goods orders, jobless claims (a proxy for layoffs), the initial estimate of Q3 GDP, the University of Michigan 5-year inflation expectations survey, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index.

HOT READS

Markets

• Home Prices Cooled at a Record Pace in August, S&P Case-Shiller Says (CNBC)
• 3 Charts Showing The Market Turmoil Wreaked During UK PM Liz Truss’ Tenure (CNBC)
• Inflation is Dominating the Conversation on Earnings Calls. Here’s What Execs Are Saying (CNBC)

Investing

• Indexing Has Saved Investors $403 Billion Since 1996 (TEBI)
• Why Isn’t Inflation Falling? (Ben Carlson)
• Expectations and Reality (Morgan Housel)

Other

• What Have Workers Done With the Time Freed Up By Commuting Less? (Liberty Street Economics)
• Some People Really Are Mosquito Magnets, and They’re Stuck That Way (Scientific American)
• House of the Dragon Wants You to Trust Game of Thrones Again (Wired)

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

Source: MarketWatch